Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 410.284946 470.928975 539.901914 624.668224 726.738795 846.569611 999.204504
2024-12-15 321.577014 398.329457 494.560009 626.087164 804.382289 1042.478426 1392.959045
2024-12-22 268.948076 349.159758 456.067032 612.628475 842.500511 1178.551209 1728.966235
2024-12-29 237.107132 319.517851 434.887720 613.728309 894.680348 1339.216293 2141.557811
2025-01-05 209.019786 290.010369 407.883197 599.179811 916.944809 1454.610103 2511.412055
2025-01-12 189.595935 269.984237 391.132800 596.156035 954.892432 1602.009310 2985.459943
2025-01-19 167.616135 243.335770 360.464867 565.087541 937.777834 1644.857851 3263.172439
2025-01-26 161.050398 239.550607 365.062569 593.471251 1031.877928 1921.617088 4158.462756
2025-02-02 156.887292 238.940320 374.458455 631.323677 1151.329709 2283.442090 5433.726196
2025-02-09 147.206096 228.176516 365.198774 633.076730 1198.185984 2498.781207 6431.707299
2025-02-16 135.862109 213.518163 347.474506 615.892697 1201.292640 2611.570839 7187.117450
2025-02-23 126.348980 201.166532 332.590125 602.209375 1209.452663 2739.569143 8069.469514
2025-03-02 121.998841 197.700344 334.012008 622.895490 1303.479713 3131.939484 10204.543610
2025-03-09 115.738173 190.300616 327.343123 625.786005 1356.314496 3431.362931 12252.840128
2025-03-16 108.239620 179.998772 314.024073 612.240366 1364.911423 3602.141900 13900.155087
2025-03-23 103.079800 173.593103 307.676973 613.345616 1412.256209 3915.491250 16591.063737
2025-03-30 96.790353 164.576804 295.260221 598.808018 1414.124072 4078.057421 18665.353189
2025-04-06 92.187255 158.435497 288.128655 595.786612 1448.170882 4371.305664 21943.083456
2025-04-13 85.356704 147.536682 270.270350 564.742017 1394.465296 4316.792600 22836.405103
2025-04-20 84.381310 147.996823 276.242028 593.103904 1526.166657 5054.231753 30921.176197
2025-04-27 84.130690 149.856323 285.365454 630.926821 1698.837877 6072.540393 44227.517329
2025-05-04 81.012596 145.690822 280.917864 632.678497 1753.728280 6590.842577 54154.064601
2025-05-11 76.718253 138.843483 269.941531 615.507926 1739.866355 6767.337791 60583.069198